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Forex signals macro event

Forex signals Outlook: Asian stock markets mostly headed south, after losses on Wall Street and in Europe yesterday. MSCI finally decided to include 222 large Chinese companies in its 2018 Emerging Markets Index, and the CSI is outperforming with a 0.28% gain, while the Hang Seng is down -0.38% and the Nikkei -0.32%, with the latter weighed down by a stronger Yen. The ASX underperformed and lost more than 1% as oil prices remain under pressure. The DAX rallied to new record highs yesterday, before profit taking and a broad mover lower in global equity markets as commodity supply concerns amid rising oil production in Libya and Nigeria cast fresh doubt on the efficacy of the OPEC oil agreement while a 26% drop in Chinese steel exports added to concerns about the global growth outlook. U.K. and U.S. stock futures are also down and the fresh bout of risk aversion will keep a lid on bond yields. For the Eurozone, the good news though is that peripheral yield spreads over the German benchmark didn’t blow out yesterday. Today’s data calendar remains quiet, with only U.K. public finance data and a German 30-year Bund sale.

EUR/GBP: UK data supporting bearish correction | Forex Signals

Forex signals base UK house prices rose 2.9% in the year through Jul, according to the “Nationwide” survey, down from +3.1% in Jun."
"Markit PMI data showed the manufacturing sector picking up momentum last month, with the headline activity index rising to 55.1, boosted by a jump in export orders."
"Cable gains have steadied around the low 1.32 area on the session, but the relatively better UK PMI data (versus the Eurozone reports) have pushed EURGBP back to the low 0.89 zone

Forex signals week ahead

Forex signals to United States: Upcoming data over the next couple of weeks will help both the FOMC and the markets fine-tune projections on policy. May durable orders, income and consumption highlight this week and are expected to show a dip in orders, and small gains in income and consumption. U.S. economic calendar begins with durable goods (Monday) seen sinking 1.0% in May vs -0.8% in April. Case-Shiller home prices may tick up to 197.6 in April from 195.4 (Tuesday) and consumer confidence is forecast to nudge up to 118.0 in June from 117.9. MBA mortgage applications are updated (Wednesday), while Pending home sales from the NAR are on Wednesday and EIA inventories are due after sparking recent bouts of crude oil selling. Q1 GDP may nose down to 0.9% on the third revision (Thursday), Personal income is set to rise 0.3% in May from 0.4% (Friday), while PCE spending rises 0.2% from 0.4%. Also, out (Friday) are Chicago PMI, which may dip to 58.0 in June from 59.4, with Michigan sentiment (final) June read seen steady at 94.5.
Forex signals to Canada: The Bank of Canada’s policy outlook will be in focus following last week’s decidedly “dovish” May CPI report that smashed July rate hike prospects. Governor Poloz and Deputy Governor Patterson step into the fray this week, which will be looked to for some further clues on the policy scenario. Poloz appears in a panel at an ECB event in Portugal (Wednesday), while any comments from the BoC head honcho will presumably be of the impromptu variety from the sidelines to reporters. Deputy Governor Patterson (Wednesday) delivers a speech in Calgary. The slate of economic data is highlighted by April GDP (Friday), the industrial product price index (Friday) and average weekly earnings (Thursday).

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Forex Signals-Global Political Uncertainty in Driving Seat

Forex signals: The US dollar is trading lower on Friday after the consumer price index (CPI) and the preferred inflation metric the core CPI came slightly under expectations. Fed speakers had been divided in their comments leading up to the release. Doves thought it was a mistake to keep raising rates with low inflation. Hawks urged that waiting could be a bigger mistake and that inflation will eventually catch up. The disappointing data has not taken the December rate hike off the table, with the data between now and the date of the meeting to provide the final say.

The CME FedWatch tool is showing a decrease in the probabilities for a December US interest rate hike. The calculation is done using the prices of Fed funds target rates futures and it stands at 82.9 percent. One week ago it was 87.8 percent, but also worth mentioning a month ago the odds were below 50 percent for a lift at the end of the year.

Forex signals GBP/USD

Forex signals on GBP: BoE MPC member Broadbent kept mum on interest rates during a speech he delivered before the Scottish Council for Development and Industry earlier. Broadbent was among the majority of MPC members to vote for unchanged policy at the June meeting, which had been a surprise for markets as three of his colleagues voted for a 25 bp hike in the repo rate

For signals for gold

Forex signals for gold now topped at $1,289.56 overnight, just above the one-week low of $1,278.60 posted on Wednesday. Today the contract drifted lower to $1,279.20 as the U.S. dollar encountering demand after the Senate passed a budget that marks a significant step for the Republicans $1.5 tln tax cut plan. The move was catalysed by news that U.S. Senate passed a budget blueprint that along with Trump’s pending choice of who will take the helm of the Fed for the next term. The market continues to speculate on who the next Fed chief will be, and what impact a more hawkish chair will have on gold prices. The John Taylor and currently is the front runner, and is seen as more hawkish that current chair Yellen.

Markets also focusing on the passage of the budget in the House, however all eyes are on the Japanese election this weekend. Gold and yen consider to be Safe havens for traders. We have seen recently traders getting out of yen and gold, known as safe havens, since the Asia market is and will be extremely volatile due to elections, and European market is facing Political uncertainty.

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